The Conn Smythe Trophy race is nearing its conclusion as the Stanley Cup Final heads toward a potential Game 6 or Game 7. With Mitch Marner and Jordan Staal emerging as the top candidates, the outcome will likely hinge on which team lifts the Stanley Cup. Marner leads the way if Vegas wins, while Staal is the front-runner if Carolina clinches the title.
Mitch Marner is the favorite if the Vegas Golden Knights complete their historic comeback. The forward has been electric in the playoffs, recording 32 points in 24 games. Marner has tallied multiple points in eight games this postseason and has been the driving force behind Vegas' late-game surges. If the Golden Knights win, Marner's clutch performances and overall impact will likely make him the voters' choice.
Jordan Staal, meanwhile, is making a strong case for the Conn Smythe if the Carolina Hurricanes close out the series. The veteran center has been a workhorse, averaging 25:30 of ice time per game in the playoffs. Staal has recorded 28 points in 24 games and leads the Hurricanes in goals with 16. His consistency and leadership have been key to Carolina's playoff success.
If the series reaches a Game 7, the decision becomes more complex. Voters typically consider the entire playoff body of work in a seven-game scenario. Marner's 32 points rank second in the playoffs behind only his own offensive prowess. His 15 goals and 17 assists highlight his two-way impact and ability to deliver in high-pressure moments.
Marner's 92 playoff points in his career place him among the all-time greats in the category. Staal, on the other hand, has 68 playoff points in his career and has consistently delivered in the postseason. If the Hurricanes win in seven games, Staal's durability and production could tip the scales in his favor.
The final decision will come after the Stanley Cup Final concludes. The winner of the Conn Smythe Trophy is typically announced within 24 hours of the Cup-clinching game. With both Marner and Staal delivering elite performances, the race remains one of the most compelling storylines of the 2026 playoffs.
The next game in the series is set for June 12 at 8:00 PM ET.
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